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Sunday, October 16, 2011

2011 NFL Divisional Champion Predictions

Going into Week 6 here are my Divisional Champion Predictions.

AFC North: This division is a toss up between the usual suspects, Pittsburgh Steelers and Baltimore Ravens. Pittsburgh right now is 11th in net offensive yards, Baltimore is 27th. Baltimore needs to improve upon the pass game if they want to be taken seriously down the stretch. Rushing, Baltimore is 20th, tied with Green Bay netting 495 rushing yards to date. Pittsburgh is 14th in rushing netting 549 yards. We all know defenses win championships and Baltimore has the number 1 defense in the league when looking at yards allowed. I'm going with Baltimore as the AFC North Divisional Champions.

AFC East: As the weeks progress, I'm putting more stock in Buffalo. We all tend to default to New England because of their superior offense, but their defense is terrible. They have the 32nd ranked defense in the league. Defensively, Buffalo isn't much better, placing at 30th. Miami may not win a game this season and the Jets offense needs to improve offensively. This is a hard one but I'm going to take the safe bet and go with New England while keeping an eye on buffalo.

AFC South: I originally said Tennessee but after looking at their numbers rushing wise, not so much. They are 32nd in rushing. They have to be able to run the ball consistently. Even with Andre Johnson and Mario Williams out, I still have faith in the Houston Texans. Jacksonville is laughable at best and so are the Colts without Payton Manning. Texans to win this division.

AFC West: Another toss up division between the Raiders and the Chargers. Lets run the numbers again. Oakland is 8th in total offensive yards and 2nd in rushing behind Philly. San Diego is 8th in rushing and 6th in total offense. Defensively San Diego is 7th and Oakland is 31st. Like I said earlier, defenses win games as most games are decided by defensive turnovers. I'm going with the San Diego Chargers to take this division.

NFC North: It's not going to be the Vikings, or the Bears. This will be decided by Green Bay and Detroit. Green Bay is 4th in offense, Detroit is 9th. Green Bay is 23rd in defense and Detroit is 14th. I always go with who has the better defense so I'm going with the Detroit Lions.

NFC East. Ah, the NFC East, the Dallas Cowboys will win this division. Their hardest games were the first 5 games of the year. They currently have the 2nd ranked defense in yards allowed behind the Ravens. Cowboys are 17th in offense. The Giants seem a little suspect this season especially after losing to Seattle at home. The "Dream Team" Eagles have only achieved 1 victory this year. The biggest threat are the Washington Redskins. They are 28th in offense but 3rd in defense. When it comes to running the ball, Washington is 18th and Dallas is 30th. Since both defenses are evenly matched, I have to default to who has the better offense and that's Dallas. Skins may get in with the wild card.

NFC South:  New Orleans Saints all the way. Tampa was exposed by San Fransisco last week. There is no reason why a team should get smashed that badly. Especially by an offense that ranks 23rd in the league. New Orleans has the 2nd ranked offense and 18th ranked defense. Carolina is a good team, but things aren't clicking with them right now, they'll have to sit this year out. Atlanta could be the team that some how finds a way to sneak into the playoffs, but they are wild card at best.

NFC West: Rams, no. Seattle won't be getting into the playoffs with a losing record again. Cardinals have won 1 game. There's really no debate here. The San Fransisco 49ers will represent the NFC west this season in the playoffs.


@HalfAPotOfGrits, @nyoung3942, @bpal410, Any objections here?

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